暨南学报(哲学社会科学版)

作者：李锴, 齐绍洲

单位：武汉大学经济与管理学院讲师;齐绍洲,武汉大学经济与管理学院教授。

关键词：碳减排政策,结构低碳升级,动态效应,协同效应

基金：国家社会科学基金资助项目“新动能成长下中国工业低碳升级的政策异质性与协同性驱动研究”(批准号:19CJY021)。

本文基于中国省区面板数据,针对碳减排政策与工业结构低碳升级之间的关系进行了实证检验,并进一步对政策的动态效应、政策间的协同效应与市场表现的调节效应等展开了深入分析。研究发现,第一,不同类型碳减排政策(节能目标、新能源补贴和碳市场)的影响效应呈现出一定的差异性。节能目标政策更能显著推动工业结构低碳化升级,新能源补贴效果存在区域性和滞后性,碳市场表现不显著。第二,从动态效应看,目标约束自2006年之后对工业结构低碳升级做出了较为“稳定”的贡献,且政策的倒逼效应随时间在增强。第三,从政策间协同效应来看,没有发现任何积极的协同升级结果,可见中国碳减排政策的制订主体的确存在“单打独斗”的局面,缺乏协同性考量。第四,从市场表现的调节效应来看,新能源补贴政策对更高出口依赖度地区结构升级具有显著的抑制作用,另外两种政策的结构升级效应不依赖于市场表现。最后,本文在模型设定、并发事件等方面证实了基准模型估计结果的稳健性。"/>template{display:none;}.mag-rich-xref-fn { cursor: pointer;}//长视频$(document).ready(function(){if($("#showLongArticleVideo") && $("#showLongArticleVideo").length && $("#showLongArticleVideo").length>0){mag_ajax_update({ele_id:'showLongArticleVideo',url:mag_currentQikanUrl() + "/CN/article/showLongArticleVideo.do?id="+$("#articleId").val()});}});$(document).ready(function(){window.metaData = {"journal":{"issn":"1000-5072","qiKanMingCheng_CN":"暨南学报（哲学社会科学版）","id":2,"qiKanMingCheng_EN":"Jinan Journal"},"fundList_cn":["国家社会科学基金资助项目“新动能成长下中国工业低碳升级的政策异质性与协同性驱动研究”(批准号:19CJY021)。"],"article":{"keywordList_cn":["动态效应","结构低碳升级","碳减排政策","协同效应"],"juan":"42","zhaiyao_cn":"本文基于中国省区面板数据,针对碳减排政策与工业结构低碳升级之间的关系进行了实证检验,并进一步对政策的动态效应、政策间的协同效应与市场表现的调节效应等展开了深入分析。研究发现,第一,不同类型碳减排政策(节能目标、新能源补贴和碳市场)的影响效应呈现出一定的差异性。节能目标政策更能显著推动工业结构低碳化升级,新能源补贴效果存在区域性和滞后性,碳市场表现不显著。第二,从动态效应看,目标约束自2006年之后对工业结构低碳升级做出了较为“稳定”的贡献,且政策的倒逼效应随时间在增强。第三,从政策间协同效应来看,没有发现任何积极的协同升级结果,可见中国碳减排政策的制订主体的确存在“单打独斗”的局面,缺乏协同性考量。第四,从市场表现的调节效应来看,新能源补贴政策对更高出口依赖度地区结构升级具有显著的抑制作用,另外两种政策的结构升级效应不依赖于市场表现。最后,本文在模型设定、并发事件等方面证实了基准模型估计结果的稳健性。","endNoteUrl_en":"https://jnxb.jnu.edu.cn/skb/EN/article/getTxtFile.do?fileType=EndNote&id=6520","reference":"","bibtexUrl_cn":"https://jnxb.jnu.edu.cn/skb/CN/article/getTxtFile.do?fileType=BibTeX&id=6520","abstractUrl_en":"https://jnxb.jnu.edu.cn/skb/EN/Y2020/V42/I12/102","qi":"12","id":6520,"nian":2020,"bianHao":"2020-12-102","zuoZheEn_L":"LI Kai, QI Shaozhou","juanUrl_en":"https://jnxb.jnu.edu.cn/skb/EN/Y2020","shouCiFaBuRiQi":"2020-12-23","qiShiYe":"102","qiUrl_cn":"https://jnxb.jnu.edu.cn/skb/CN/Y2020/V42/I12","lanMu_cn":"经济·管理","pdfSize":"2258","zuoZhe_CN":"李锴, 齐绍洲","risUrl_cn":"https://jnxb.jnu.edu.cn/skb/CN/article/getTxtFile.do?fileType=Ris&id=6520","title_cn":"碳减排政策与工业结构低碳升级","jieShuYe":"116","keywordList_en":["carbon-reduction policy","dynamic effect","low-carbon upgrading","synergistic effect"],"endNoteUrl_cn":"https://jnxb.jnu.edu.cn/skb/CN/article/getTxtFile.do?fileType=EndNote&id=6520","zhaiyao_en":"Based on the given data of provinces and regions in China, this paper conducts an empirical test on the relationship between carbon abatement policies and low-carbon upgrading of industrial structure, and further analyzes the dynamic effect of the policies, the synergy effect among policies and the regulatory effect of market performance. The results show that, first, the impact of different policies shows certain differences: policy focusing on energy-saving goal can significantly promote the low-carbon upgrading of industrial structure, while policy centering on new energy subsidies have regional limitation and time lag, and performs badly in the carbon market. Second, in terms of dynamic effect, the restrictive goal has made relatively “steady” contribution to the low-carbon upgrading of industrial structure since 2006, and the reversal effect of the policies strengthens over time. Third, from the perspective of the the synergy effect among policies, there are not any positive results of synergetic upgradation, which reflects that the decision-makers of carbon abatement policies work independently and lack collaboration with each other. 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来源：2020年第12期

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