暨南学报(哲学社会科学版)

作者：苏冬蔚, 廖佳

单位：暨南大学经济学院。

关键词：出生人口性别比,房价上涨,经济增长,儒家文化,家庭生育行为

基金：国家自然科学基金“产能过剩下我国制造业上市公司跨国经营的实物期权价值研究”(71972087);国家自然科学基金“转融券制度、卖空约束与市场稳定性”(71673110);广东省高校高层次人才(珠江学者)项目“微观金融若干基础问题的理论、实证及应用研究”(粤教师函〔2010〕79号)。

出生人口性别比失衡是挑战我国经济和社会可持续发展的重大问题之一。已有文献主要从经济发展水平、城镇化进程以及社会保障体系等方面加以理论探讨,尚未进行深入的实证分析。本文将全国人口普查及抽样调查数据与2000年至2015年间286个地级以上城市的经济数据相结合,研究经济增长与房价上涨对出生人口性别比的影响,发现高房价有助于降低城市出生人口性别比,而经济增长则没有显著影响;房价上涨对出生人口性别比的抑制作用主要集中在儒家伦理和传统生育文化影响力小或城镇住房制度改革初期性别干预程度高的城市;女性社会地位、城镇化进程、医疗服务水平以及地区生育政策等传统的经济和社会因素也有助于降低出生人口性别比。因此,国家必须不断完善房地产市场平稳健康发展的长效机制、推动城镇化发展、加强“男女平等”宣传教育并普及新型生育文化,从而继续缓解家庭生育行为中的性别失衡问题。"/>template{display:none;}.mag-rich-xref-fn { cursor: pointer;}//长视频$(document).ready(function(){if($("#showLongArticleVideo") && $("#showLongArticleVideo").length && $("#showLongArticleVideo").length>0){mag_ajax_update({ele_id:'showLongArticleVideo',url:mag_currentQikanUrl() + "/CN/article/showLongArticleVideo.do?id="+$("#articleId").val()});}});$(document).ready(function(){window.metaData = {"journal":{"issn":"1000-5072","qiKanMingCheng_CN":"暨南学报（哲学社会科学版）","id":2,"qiKanMingCheng_EN":"Jinan Journal"},"fundList_cn":["国家自然科学基金“产能过剩下我国制造业上市公司跨国经营的实物期权价值研究”(71972087);国家自然科学基金“转融券制度、卖空约束与市场稳定性”(71673110);广东省高校高层次人才(珠江学者)项目“微观金融若干基础问题的理论、实证及应用研究”(粤教师函〔2010〕79号)。"],"article":{"keywordList_cn":["出生人口性别比","房价上涨","家庭生育行为","经济增长","儒家文化"],"juan":"43","zhaiyao_cn":"出生人口性别比失衡是挑战我国经济和社会可持续发展的重大问题之一。已有文献主要从经济发展水平、城镇化进程以及社会保障体系等方面加以理论探讨,尚未进行深入的实证分析。本文将全国人口普查及抽样调查数据与2000年至2015年间286个地级以上城市的经济数据相结合,研究经济增长与房价上涨对出生人口性别比的影响,发现高房价有助于降低城市出生人口性别比,而经济增长则没有显著影响;房价上涨对出生人口性别比的抑制作用主要集中在儒家伦理和传统生育文化影响力小或城镇住房制度改革初期性别干预程度高的城市;女性社会地位、城镇化进程、医疗服务水平以及地区生育政策等传统的经济和社会因素也有助于降低出生人口性别比。因此,国家必须不断完善房地产市场平稳健康发展的长效机制、推动城镇化发展、加强“男女平等”宣传教育并普及新型生育文化,从而继续缓解家庭生育行为中的性别失衡问题。","endNoteUrl_en":"https://jnxb.jnu.edu.cn/skb/EN/article/getTxtFile.do?fileType=EndNote&id=6030","bibtexUrl_cn":"https://jnxb.jnu.edu.cn/skb/CN/article/getTxtFile.do?fileType=BibTeX&id=6030","abstractUrl_en":"https://jnxb.jnu.edu.cn/skb/EN/Y2021/V43/I9/35","qi":"9","id":6030,"nian":2021,"bianHao":"2021-9-35","zuoZheEn_L":"SU Dongwei, LIAO Jia","juanUrl_en":"https://jnxb.jnu.edu.cn/skb/EN/Y2021","shouCiFaBuRiQi":"2021-10-19","qiShiYe":"35","qiUrl_cn":"https://jnxb.jnu.edu.cn/skb/CN/Y2021/V43/I9","lanMu_cn":"经济·管理","pdfSize":"1256","zuoZhe_CN":"苏冬蔚, 廖佳","risUrl_cn":"https://jnxb.jnu.edu.cn/skb/CN/article/getTxtFile.do?fileType=Ris&id=6030","title_cn":"经济增长、房价上涨与出生人口性别比——基于中国地级及以上城市的经验研究","jieShuYe":"53","keywordList_en":["confucianism","economic growth","family fertility behavior","housing price rise","sex ratio at birth"],"endNoteUrl_cn":"https://jnxb.jnu.edu.cn/skb/CN/article/getTxtFile.do?fileType=EndNote&id=6030","zhaiyao_en":"The imbalance of the sex ratio at birth is one of the major issues that challenge the sustainable development of China's economy and society. The existing literature mainly discusses the aspects of economic development level, urbanization process and social security system in a theoretical way, but it has not conducted in-depth empirical analysis. With a combination of the national census and sample survey data with the economic data of 286 cities above the prefecture level (2000-2015), this paper studies the impact of economic growth and rising housing prices on the sex ratio at birth. It is found that high housing prices help reduce sex ratio at birth of urban population, while economic growth has no significant impact. The inhibitory effect of rising housing prices on the sex ratio of the birth population is mainly concentrated in cities where the influence of Confucian ethics and traditional fertility culture is small, or the degree of gender intervention in the early urban housing system reform is high. 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来源：2021年第9期

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