暨南学报(哲学社会科学版)

作者：贾洪波

单位：北京航空航天大学社会保障研究中心。

关键词：流动人口,社会保险,劳动合同,负二项回归模型

基金：国家自然科学基金面上项目“以所得为缴费基数的城镇职工基本养老保险缴费率优化模型与实证测算”(72074016);国家社会科学基金重大项目“中国人口老龄化对经济增长的影响路径与政策选择研究”(20&ZD077)。

本文运用负二项计数回归模型对问卷调查得到的6省18市数据进行分析,研究结果表明,在控制流动人口的年龄、性别、婚姻状况、流动的空间范围、流动的时间、就业状况这些变量的情况下,劳动合同签订状况对流动人口参加社会保险项目个数有正向显著影响,户口对流动人口参加社会保险项目个数没有显著影响。这种与人们通常认为户口会影响流动人口参加社会保险项目相悖的研究结论表明目前我国流动人口社会保险平权状况与社会保险制度建立之初相比得到了明显改善,流动人口参加社会保险已经完成了由社会保险制度建立之初以身份为依据向目前以权利为依据的转变,这是流动人口社会保险权利进步的表现。未来需要以劳动合同为基础采取措施促进和完善流动人口参加社会保险项目。"/>template{display:none;}.mag-rich-xref-fn { cursor: pointer;}//长视频$(document).ready(function(){if($("#showLongArticleVideo") && $("#showLongArticleVideo").length && $("#showLongArticleVideo").length>0){mag_ajax_update({ele_id:'showLongArticleVideo',url:mag_currentQikanUrl() + "/CN/article/showLongArticleVideo.do?id="+$("#articleId").val()});}});$(document).ready(function(){window.metaData = {"journal":{"issn":"1000-5072","qiKanMingCheng_CN":"暨南学报（哲学社会科学版）","id":2,"qiKanMingCheng_EN":"Jinan Journal"},"fundList_cn":["国家自然科学基金面上项目“以所得为缴费基数的城镇职工基本养老保险缴费率优化模型与实证测算”(72074016);国家社会科学基金重大项目“中国人口老龄化对经济增长的影响路径与政策选择研究”(20&ZD077)。"],"article":{"keywordList_cn":["负二项回归模型","劳动合同","流动人口","社会保险"],"juan":"43","zhaiyao_cn":"本文运用负二项计数回归模型对问卷调查得到的6省18市数据进行分析,研究结果表明,在控制流动人口的年龄、性别、婚姻状况、流动的空间范围、流动的时间、就业状况这些变量的情况下,劳动合同签订状况对流动人口参加社会保险项目个数有正向显著影响,户口对流动人口参加社会保险项目个数没有显著影响。这种与人们通常认为户口会影响流动人口参加社会保险项目相悖的研究结论表明目前我国流动人口社会保险平权状况与社会保险制度建立之初相比得到了明显改善,流动人口参加社会保险已经完成了由社会保险制度建立之初以身份为依据向目前以权利为依据的转变,这是流动人口社会保险权利进步的表现。未来需要以劳动合同为基础采取措施促进和完善流动人口参加社会保险项目。","endNoteUrl_en":"https://jnxb.jnu.edu.cn/skb/EN/article/getTxtFile.do?fileType=EndNote&id=6042","bibtexUrl_cn":"https://jnxb.jnu.edu.cn/skb/CN/article/getTxtFile.do?fileType=BibTeX&id=6042","abstractUrl_en":"https://jnxb.jnu.edu.cn/skb/EN/Y2021/V43/I10/73","qi":"10","id":6042,"nian":2021,"bianHao":"2021-10-73","zuoZheEn_L":"JIA Hongbo","juanUrl_en":"https://jnxb.jnu.edu.cn/skb/EN/Y2021","shouCiFaBuRiQi":"2021-11-03","qiShiYe":"73","qiUrl_cn":"https://jnxb.jnu.edu.cn/skb/CN/Y2021/V43/I10","lanMu_cn":"社会治理研究","pdfSize":"1722","zuoZhe_CN":"贾洪波","risUrl_cn":"https://jnxb.jnu.edu.cn/skb/CN/article/getTxtFile.do?fileType=Ris&id=6042","title_cn":"户口、劳动合同影响流动人口参加社会保险的比较分析——基于6省18市调研数据的负二项回归模型","jieShuYe":"85","keywordList_en":["floating population","labor contract","negative binomial count model","social insurance"],"endNoteUrl_cn":"https://jnxb.jnu.edu.cn/skb/CN/article/getTxtFile.do?fileType=EndNote&id=6042","zhaiyao_en":"By using negative binomial count regression model to analyze the survey data of 18 cities in 6 provinces, this article finds that the signing status of labor contract has positive significant impacts on floating population's participation in social insurance while the household registration has no significant impact on floating population's participation in social insurance under the control of the variables including floating population's age, gender, marital status, the flow space, the flow time, and the employment situation. 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来源：2021年第10期

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