暨南学报(哲学社会科学版)

作者：刘金全, 吴克强, 张龙

单位：吉林大学数量经济研究中心;吴克强,吉林大学商学院;张龙,吉林财经大学统计学院。

关键词：财政政策,货币政策,取向转换,经济波动

基金：国家社会科学基金重大项目“健全目标优化、分工合理、高效协同的宏观经济治理体系的理论与实践研究”(21ZDA042);国家社会科学基金一般项目“基于税收大数据的宏观经济监控研究”(18BTJ028);国家社会科学基金一般项目“多边贸易规制下我国农业两区绿色补偿机制设计及优化研究”(20BJY124)。

本文基于经济基本面数据测算中国财政政策与货币政策调控指数,通过中国财政政策与货币政策调控指数拟合和划定中国财政政策与货币政策的调控取向,以及二者之间的动态组合范式。以MS-DSGE模型分析财政政策与货币政策调控取向转换下,财政政策与货币政策协调配合的宏观经济效应。研究结果表明:中国财政政策与货币政策调控指数具有较好的现实经济拟合效果和指引功效,财政政策的经济增长效应显著,货币政策的通胀效应更佳,已考虑调控取向转换的财政政策与货币政策经济调控效果最优。"/>template{display:none;}.mag-rich-xref-fn { cursor: pointer;}//长视频$(document).ready(function(){if($("#showLongArticleVideo") && $("#showLongArticleVideo").length && $("#showLongArticleVideo").length>0){mag_ajax_update({ele_id:'showLongArticleVideo',url:mag_currentQikanUrl() + "/CN/article/showLongArticleVideo.do?id="+$("#articleId").val()});}});$(document).ready(function(){window.metaData = {"journal":{"issn":"1000-5072","qiKanMingCheng_CN":"暨南学报（哲学社会科学版）","id":2,"qiKanMingCheng_EN":"Jinan Journal"},"fundList_cn":["国家社会科学基金重大项目“健全目标优化、分工合理、高效协同的宏观经济治理体系的理论与实践研究”(21ZDA042);国家社会科学基金一般项目“基于税收大数据的宏观经济监控研究”(18BTJ028);国家社会科学基金一般项目“多边贸易规制下我国农业两区绿色补偿机制设计及优化研究”(20BJY124)。"],"article":{"keywordList_cn":["财政政策","货币政策","经济波动","取向转换"],"juan":"44","zhaiyao_cn":"本文基于经济基本面数据测算中国财政政策与货币政策调控指数,通过中国财政政策与货币政策调控指数拟合和划定中国财政政策与货币政策的调控取向,以及二者之间的动态组合范式。以MS-DSGE模型分析财政政策与货币政策调控取向转换下,财政政策与货币政策协调配合的宏观经济效应。研究结果表明:中国财政政策与货币政策调控指数具有较好的现实经济拟合效果和指引功效,财政政策的经济增长效应显著,货币政策的通胀效应更佳,已考虑调控取向转换的财政政策与货币政策经济调控效果最优。","endNoteUrl_en":"https://jnxb.jnu.edu.cn/skb/EN/article/getTxtFile.do?fileType=EndNote&id=6585","bibtexUrl_cn":"https://jnxb.jnu.edu.cn/skb/CN/article/getTxtFile.do?fileType=BibTeX&id=6585","abstractUrl_en":"https://jnxb.jnu.edu.cn/skb/EN/Y2022/V44/I1/104","qi":"1","id":6585,"nian":2022,"bianHao":"2022-1-104","zuoZheEn_L":"LIU Jinquan, WU Keqiang, ZHANG Long","juanUrl_en":"https://jnxb.jnu.edu.cn/skb/EN/Y2022","shouCiFaBuRiQi":"2022-02-28","qiShiYe":"104","qiUrl_cn":"https://jnxb.jnu.edu.cn/skb/CN/Y2022/V44/I1","lanMu_cn":"宏观经济","pdfSize":"1156","zuoZhe_CN":"刘金全, 吴克强, 张龙","risUrl_cn":"https://jnxb.jnu.edu.cn/skb/CN/article/getTxtFile.do?fileType=Ris&id=6585","title_cn":"财政政策与货币政策调控取向转换与中国经济波动","jieShuYe":"114","keywordList_en":["economic fluctuations","fiscal policy","monetary policy","orientation transformation"],"endNoteUrl_cn":"https://jnxb.jnu.edu.cn/skb/CN/article/getTxtFile.do?fileType=EndNote&id=6585","zhaiyao_en":"Based on economic fundamental dates, this paper investigates China's fiscal and monetary policy regulation index, and aims to delineate China's fiscal and monetary policy regulation orientation and the dynamic combination paradigm through the China's fiscal and monetary policy regulation index. It further analyzes the macroeconomic effects of economic policies under the transition of fiscal and monetary policies based on MS-DSGE model. The research results show that 1) China's fiscal and monetary policy regulation index has better realistic economic fit effects; 2) the economic growth effect of fiscal policy is significant; and 3) the inflation effect of monetary policy is better. 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来源：2022年第1期

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