暨南学报(哲学社会科学版)

作者：屠年松, 龚凯翔

单位：昆明理工大学管理与经济学院。

关键词：双向技术溢出,研发能力,产业集聚,制造业,全球价值链,门限回归

基金：国家自然科学基金项目“区域价值链合作视角下GMS制造业价值链演进机理与升级路径研究”(72063020);云南省哲学社会科学规划重点项目“区域价值链合作视角下云南省制造业价值链升级路径研究”(ZD201904)。

在中美贸易摩擦和新冠疫情对中国的双向技术溢出造成冲击的背景下,为明晰“引进来”和“走出去”的双向技术溢出对制造业全球价值链的影响,文章构建了研究“引进来”和“走出去”的双向技术溢出对制造业价值链攀升作用的理论模型,并利用2004年至2017年的中国省级面板数据进行实证检验。研究发现,“引进来”的技术溢出显著促进了我国制造业价值链向高端攀升,但“走出去”的逆向技术溢出未表现出显著的积极作用。两者对制造业价值链向高端攀升表现出显著的地区异质性。通过门限回归发现,“引进来”的技术溢出在研发能力的门限作用下对制造业价值链攀升表现出先递增再递减的影响力,“走出去”的技术溢出却表现出先递减再递增的影响力。在产业集聚的门限作用下则对制造业价值链攀升表现出单调递减的影响力。显然,这将对我国在中美贸易摩擦背景下精准施策、化危为机、促进制造业价值链攀升具有重要的现实意义。"/>template{display:none;}.mag-rich-xref-fn { cursor: pointer;}//长视频$(document).ready(function(){if($("#showLongArticleVideo") && $("#showLongArticleVideo").length && $("#showLongArticleVideo").length>0){mag_ajax_update({ele_id:'showLongArticleVideo',url:mag_currentQikanUrl() + "/CN/article/showLongArticleVideo.do?id="+$("#articleId").val()});}});$(document).ready(function(){window.metaData = {"journal":{"issn":"1000-5072","qiKanMingCheng_CN":"暨南学报（哲学社会科学版）","id":2,"qiKanMingCheng_EN":"Jinan Journal"},"fundList_cn":["国家自然科学基金项目“区域价值链合作视角下GMS制造业价值链演进机理与升级路径研究”(72063020);云南省哲学社会科学规划重点项目“区域价值链合作视角下云南省制造业价值链升级路径研究”(ZD201904)。"],"article":{"keywordList_cn":["产业集聚","门限回归","全球价值链","双向技术溢出","研发能力","制造业"],"juan":"44","zhaiyao_cn":"在中美贸易摩擦和新冠疫情对中国的双向技术溢出造成冲击的背景下,为明晰“引进来”和“走出去”的双向技术溢出对制造业全球价值链的影响,文章构建了研究“引进来”和“走出去”的双向技术溢出对制造业价值链攀升作用的理论模型,并利用2004年至2017年的中国省级面板数据进行实证检验。研究发现,“引进来”的技术溢出显著促进了我国制造业价值链向高端攀升,但“走出去”的逆向技术溢出未表现出显著的积极作用。两者对制造业价值链向高端攀升表现出显著的地区异质性。通过门限回归发现,“引进来”的技术溢出在研发能力的门限作用下对制造业价值链攀升表现出先递增再递减的影响力,“走出去”的技术溢出却表现出先递减再递增的影响力。在产业集聚的门限作用下则对制造业价值链攀升表现出单调递减的影响力。显然,这将对我国在中美贸易摩擦背景下精准施策、化危为机、促进制造业价值链攀升具有重要的现实意义。","endNoteUrl_en":"https://jnxb.jnu.edu.cn/skb/EN/article/getTxtFile.do?fileType=EndNote&id=6664","reference":"","bibtexUrl_cn":"https://jnxb.jnu.edu.cn/skb/CN/article/getTxtFile.do?fileType=BibTeX&id=6664","abstractUrl_en":"https://jnxb.jnu.edu.cn/skb/EN/10.11778/j.jnxb.20212974","qi":"7","id":6664,"nian":2022,"bianHao":"2022-7-64","zuoZheEn_L":"TU Niansong, GONG Kaixiang","juanUrl_en":"https://jnxb.jnu.edu.cn/skb/EN/Y2022","shouCiFaBuRiQi":"2022-08-06","qiShiYe":"64","qiUrl_cn":"https://jnxb.jnu.edu.cn/skb/CN/Y2022/V44/I7","lanMu_cn":"产业经济研究","pdfSize":"744","zuoZhe_CN":"屠年松, 龚凯翔","risUrl_cn":"https://jnxb.jnu.edu.cn/skb/CN/article/getTxtFile.do?fileType=Ris&id=6664","title_cn":"“引进来”“走出去”的技术溢出对制造业价值链的效应研究——基于研发能力和产业集聚的门限回归检验","doi":"10.11778/j.jnxb.20212974","jieShuYe":"79","keywordList_en":["Global value chain","Industrial agglomeration","Manufacturing","R&D capability","Threshold regression","Two-way technology spillover"],"endNoteUrl_cn":"https://jnxb.jnu.edu.cn/skb/CN/article/getTxtFile.do?fileType=EndNote&id=6664","zhaiyao_en":"Against the background of Sino-US trade frictions and the impact of the new crown epidemic on China's two-way technology spillovers, in order to clarify the impact of “bringing in” and “going out” two-way technology spillovers (the Spillovers) on the global value chain of manufacturing, this paper constructs a theoretical model to study the impact of the Spillovers on the rise of the manufacturing value chain. And the paper is empirically tested by using Chinese provincial panel data from 2004 to 2017. The study found that the “bringing in” technology spillover significantly promoted the high-end of my country's manufacturing value chain, while the “going out” reverse technology spillover did not show significant enthusiasm. The two strategies show significant regional heterogeneity in the high-end climb of the manufacturing value chain. Through the threshold regression, it is found that the “bringing in” technology spillover shows a first increasing and then decreasing influence on the rise of the manufacturing value chain under the threshold characteristic of R&D capability, while the “going out” technology spillover shows a first decreasing and then increasing influence; Similarly, under the threshold characteristics of industrial agglomeration, two-way technology spillovers have a monotonically decreasing influence on the rise of the manufacturing value chain. Obviously, this will have important practical significance for China to take precise measures against the background of Sino-US trade frictions, turn the crisis into an opportunity, and promote the rise of the manufacturing value chain.","bibtexUrl_en":"https://jnxb.jnu.edu.cn/skb/EN/article/getTxtFile.do?fileType=BibTeX&id=6664","abstractUrl_cn":"https://jnxb.jnu.edu.cn/skb/CN/10.11778/j.jnxb.20212974","zuoZheCn_L":"屠年松, 龚凯翔","juanUrl_cn":"https://jnxb.jnu.edu.cn/skb/CN/Y2022","lanMu_en":"","qiUrl_en":"https://jnxb.jnu.edu.cn/skb/EN/Y2022/V44/I7","zuoZhe_EN":"TU Niansong, GONG Kaixiang","risUrl_en":"https://jnxb.jnu.edu.cn/skb/EN/article/getTxtFile.do?fileType=Ris&id=6664","title_en":"“Bringing in” and “Going out” Technology Spillovers and Manufacturing Value Chain —A Study of the Threshold Effect Based on R&D Capabilities and Industrial Agglomeration","hasPdf":"true"},"authorNotes_cn":["屠年松、龚凯翔,昆明理工大学管理与经济学院。"]};if(window.metaData && (!window.metaData.authorNotesCommon_cn && !window.metaData.authorNotesCorresp_cn && window.metaData.authorNotes_cn)){window.metaData.authorNotesCommon_cn = window.metaData.authorNotes_cn;}if(window.metaData && (!window.metaData.authorNotesCommon_en && !window.metaData.authorNotesCorresp_en && window.metaData.authorNotes_en)){window.metaData.authorNotesCommon_en = window.metaData.authorNotes_en;}var _nlmdtdXml = $("#article_nlmdtdXml").val();var magDir = _nlmdtdXml.replace(/\/[^\/]+$/,'');window.metaData.magDir = magDir;new mag_vue({ el: '#metaVue', //dataUrl: mag_currentQikanUrl() + '/EN/article/getRichHtmlJson.do?articleId='+$("#articleId").val(), data:window.metaData, loading:true, doTextFun:function(text){ return doDataJsonText(text); 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来源：2022年第7期

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