暨南学报(哲学社会科学版)

作者：沈梓鑫, 江飞涛

单位：中国社会科学院数量经济与技术经济研究所、中国社会科学院经济大数据与政策评估实验室;江飞涛,中国社会科学院工业经济研究所。

关键词：新兴产业,未来产业,创新,颠覆性技术,新质生产力

基金：国家社会科学基金一般项目“数字经济和实体经济深度融合机制的政治经济学研究”(21BJL076)。

当前随着新一轮科技革命和产业变革深入推进,颠覆性技术创新成果不断涌现,前沿技术驱动的新兴产业代表科技创新和产业发展的重要方向,我国的生产力水平在新劳动资料、新生产工具和新劳动对象的组合下呈现新的质态,新质生产力成为推动新发展阶段经济增长的新动能。包括战略性新兴产业和未来产业在内的新兴产业具有颠覆性技术创新驱动、产业布局前瞻性强、市场和组织不确定性高、技术赶超机会多等特征,是新质生产力形成的重要载体。由于新兴产业创新与新质生产力形成在技术来源、要素组合和产业基础上存在高度的一致性,因此围绕新兴产业创新的技术策源和制度设计成为新质生产力形成机制的重要动力和主要内容。在演化经济学分析范式下,新兴产业激进创新的扩散依赖于核心要素、基础设施和经济组织三个要素的协同演化,在培育新质生产力目标的导向下,未来我国产业战略应着力于促进新型生产要素的积累利用,加速新型基础设施的完善升级,积极推动生产组织方式的变革,前瞻谋划未来产业的布局等方面。"/>template{display:none;}.mag-rich-xref-fn { cursor: pointer;}//长视频$(document).ready(function(){if($("#showLongArticleVideo") && $("#showLongArticleVideo").length && $("#showLongArticleVideo").length>0){mag_ajax_update({ele_id:'showLongArticleVideo',url:mag_currentQikanUrl() + "/CN/article/showLongArticleVideo.do?id="+$("#articleId").val()});}});$(document).ready(function(){window.metaData = {"journal":{"issn":"1000-5072","qiKanMingCheng_CN":"暨南学报（哲学社会科学版）","id":2,"qiKanMingCheng_EN":"Jinan Journal"},"fundList_cn":["国家社会科学基金一般项目“数字经济和实体经济深度融合机制的政治经济学研究”(21BJL076)。"],"article":{"keywordList_cn":["新兴产业","未来产业","创新","颠覆性技术","新质生产力"],"juan":"46","zhaiyao_cn":"当前随着新一轮科技革命和产业变革深入推进,颠覆性技术创新成果不断涌现,前沿技术驱动的新兴产业代表科技创新和产业发展的重要方向,我国的生产力水平在新劳动资料、新生产工具和新劳动对象的组合下呈现新的质态,新质生产力成为推动新发展阶段经济增长的新动能。包括战略性新兴产业和未来产业在内的新兴产业具有颠覆性技术创新驱动、产业布局前瞻性强、市场和组织不确定性高、技术赶超机会多等特征,是新质生产力形成的重要载体。由于新兴产业创新与新质生产力形成在技术来源、要素组合和产业基础上存在高度的一致性,因此围绕新兴产业创新的技术策源和制度设计成为新质生产力形成机制的重要动力和主要内容。在演化经济学分析范式下,新兴产业激进创新的扩散依赖于核心要素、基础设施和经济组织三个要素的协同演化,在培育新质生产力目标的导向下,未来我国产业战略应着力于促进新型生产要素的积累利用,加速新型基础设施的完善升级,积极推动生产组织方式的变革,前瞻谋划未来产业的布局等方面。","endNoteUrl_en":"https://jnxb.jnu.edu.cn/skb/EN/article/getTxtFile.do?fileType=EndNote&id=7006","reference":"","bibtexUrl_cn":"https://jnxb.jnu.edu.cn/skb/CN/article/getTxtFile.do?fileType=BibTeX&id=7006","articleType":"","abstractUrl_en":"https://jnxb.jnu.edu.cn/skb/EN/10.11778/j.jnxb.20240242","qi":"6","id":7006,"nian":2024,"bianHao":"1720771496138-19570598","zuoZheEn_L":"SHEN Zixin, JIANG Feitao","juanUrl_en":"https://jnxb.jnu.edu.cn/skb/EN/Y2024","shouCiFaBuRiQi":"2024-07-12","qiShiYe":"115","qiUrl_cn":"https://jnxb.jnu.edu.cn/skb/CN/Y2024/V46/I6","lanMu_cn":"经济学·新质生产力","pdfSize":"1219","zuoZhe_CN":"沈梓鑫, 江飞涛","risUrl_cn":"https://jnxb.jnu.edu.cn/skb/CN/article/getTxtFile.do?fileType=Ris&id=7006","title_cn":"未来产业与战略性新兴产业的创新与新质生产力:理论逻辑和实践路径","doi":"10.11778/j.jnxb.20240242","jieShuYe":"129","keywordList_en":["emerging industries"," Future industries","innovation","disruptive technology","new quality productive forces"],"endNoteUrl_cn":"https://jnxb.jnu.edu.cn/skb/CN/article/getTxtFile.do?fileType=EndNote&id=7006","zhaiyao_en":"“New quality productive forces” is an important concept proposed by General Secretary Xi Jinping during his inspection in Heilongjiang in 2023. From a theoretical perspective, General Secretary Xi Jinping's important exposition on new quality productive forces is the inheritance and development of the Marxist productivity theory. It contains rich innovation categories and connotation characteristics and provides scientific theoretical guidance and action guidelines for comprehensively grasping the breakthrough direction of a new round of scientific and technological revolution in the new era and promoting high-quality development of productive forces.This paper analyzes the theoretical logic and practical path of promoting the formation of new quality productive forces through innovation in emerging industries in the framework of evolutionary economics. Based on defining the scope of emerging industries, the paper summarizes the connotation and main characteristics of innovation in emerging industries, and explains the logical relationship between innovation in emerging industries and the formation of new quality productive forces from the perspective of evolutionary economic theory, and then proposes the main path to promote new quality productive forces through innovation in emerging industries at a practical level, exploring the focus of Chinese future industrial strategy and specific industrial policy choices under the guidance of cultivating new quality productive forces.Compared with existing research, the possible marginal contributions of this paper are as follows. Firstly, this paper introduces the analytical perspective of the technological economics paradigm of evolutionary economics and believes that emerging industries including strategic emerging industries and future industries are characterized by disruptive technological innovation-driven, forward-looking industrial layout, high market and organizational uncertainty, and more opportunities for technological catch-up. As the leading industries of the technological revolution wave, the process of emerging industries growing into leading industries and even pillar industries through disruptive technological innovation is essentially the process of cultivating new quality productive forces. Secondly, in terms of theoretical logic, it is found that there is a high degree of consistency between the innovation of emerging industries and the formation of new quality productive forces based on technological sources, factor combinations, and industrial foundations. It is proposed that the technological source and institutional design of emerging industry innovation should be regarded as an important driving force for the formation of new quality productive forces and the main content of institutional improvement. Thirdly, in terms of practical paths, since the diffusion of radical innovation in emerging industries depends on the co-evolution of three elements: core elements, infrastructure, and economic organization, Chinese future industrial strategy should focus on promoting the accumulation and utilization of new production factors, accelerating the improvement and upgrading of new infrastructure, actively introducing changes in production organization methods, and forward-looking planning of future industrial layout, thus promoting the formation and development of new quality productive forces.This paper provides a new approach for the academic and policy circles to deepen their understanding of the logical relationship between innovation in emerging industries and the formation of new quality productive forces. It will help promote the smooth replacement of traditional productive forces with new quality productive forces while promoting the transformation of the technological and economic paradigm in China and provide useful theoretical research viewpoints and applied policy recommendations.","bibtexUrl_en":"https://jnxb.jnu.edu.cn/skb/EN/article/getTxtFile.do?fileType=BibTeX&id=7006","abstractUrl_cn":"https://jnxb.jnu.edu.cn/skb/CN/10.11778/j.jnxb.20240242","zuoZheCn_L":"沈梓鑫, 江飞涛","juanUrl_cn":"https://jnxb.jnu.edu.cn/skb/CN/Y2024","lanMu_en":"","qiUrl_en":"https://jnxb.jnu.edu.cn/skb/EN/Y2024/V46/I6","zuoZhe_EN":"SHEN Zixin, JIANG Feitao","risUrl_en":"https://jnxb.jnu.edu.cn/skb/EN/article/getTxtFile.do?fileType=Ris&id=7006","title_en":"Innovation in Future Industries and Emerging Sectors of Strategic Importance, and New Quality Productive Forces: Theoretical Logic and Practical Path","hasPdf":"true"},"authorNotes_cn":["沈梓鑫,中国社会科学院数量经济与技术经济研究所、中国社会科学院经济大数据与政策评估实验室;江飞涛,中国社会科学院工业经济研究所。"]};if(window.metaData && (!window.metaData.authorNotesCommon_cn && !window.metaData.authorNotesCorresp_cn && window.metaData.authorNotes_cn)){window.metaData.authorNotesCommon_cn = window.metaData.authorNotes_cn;}if(window.metaData && (!window.metaData.authorNotesCommon_en && !window.metaData.authorNotesCorresp_en && window.metaData.authorNotes_en)){window.metaData.authorNotesCommon_en = window.metaData.authorNotes_en;}var _nlmdtdXml = $("#article_nlmdtdXml").val();var magDir = _nlmdtdXml.replace(/\/[^\/]+$/,'');window.metaData.magDir = magDir;new mag_vue({ el: '#metaVue', //dataUrl: mag_currentQikanUrl() + '/EN/article/getRichHtmlJson.do?articleId='+$("#articleId").val(), data:window.metaData, loading:true, doTextFun:function(text){ return doDataJsonText(text); }, doAfterFun:function(selector,jsonData){doMagVueAfter(selector,jsonData);}});var pars = {attachType:'PDF',id:$("#articleId").val(),json:true};jQuery.post($("#mag-common-contextPath").val()+"/CN/article/showArticleFile.do?" + new Date().getTime(), pars, function(data){var json=null;if(data.match(/^\[json\].*/g)){json=eval("("+data.replace(/^\[json\]/g,"")+")");}if(json && json.status == 1){//有权限}else{//无权限$("#no-access-div").show();}});mag_ajax({url:mag_currentQikanUrl() + '/CN/article/getRichHtmlJson.do',data:{articleId:$("#articleId").val(),token:'8377dedea25e4486a8c87994fd1228ea',referer:document.referrer},dataType:"json",async:"false",success:function(json){if(json.richHtmlJson && json.richHtmlJson.article){if(json.trans){var _nlmdtdXmlCN = $("#article_nlmdtdXmlCN").val();var magDirCN = _nlmdtdXmlCN.replace(/\/[^\/]+$/,'');json.richHtmlJson.magDir=magDirCN;}else{json.richHtmlJson.magDir=magDir;}new mag_vue({ el: '#bodyVue', data:json.richHtmlJson, doTextFun:function(text){ return doDataJsonText(text); }, doAfterFun:function(selector,jsonData){doMagVueAfter(selector,jsonData);}});}}});//altmetricif($.trim($("#article_doi").val())!=''){$.ajax({url:'https://api.altmetric.com/v1/doi/'+$.trim($("#article_doi").val())+'?callback=altmetric_callback',//url:'https://api.altmetric.com/v1/doi/10.1007/s13238-016-0264-7?callback=altmetric_callback',dataType:'jsonp'});}mag_rich_menu(jQuery);$(function(){ $('#autoMenu').autoMenu();})$("#autoMenu").niceScroll({cursorcolor: "#ccc", //滚动条的颜色cursoropacitymax: 0, //滚动条的透明度，从0-1 touchbehavior: false, //使光标拖动滚动像在台式电脑触摸设备 true滚动条拖动不可用 cursorwidth: "6px", //滚动条的宽度 单位默认px cursorborder: "0", // 游标边框css定义 cursorborderradius: "3px", //滚动条两头的圆角 autohidemode: true, //是否隐藏滚动条 true的时候默认不显示滚动条，当鼠标经过的时候显示滚动条 zindex: "auto", //给滚动条设置z-index值 railvalign:'defaul',railpadding: {top: 0,right: -6,left: 0,bottom: 0}, //滚动条的位置});window.autoMenuFlag=true;$("#relatedArticles").niceScroll({cursorcolor: "#ccc", //滚动条的颜色cursoropacitymax: 0, //滚动条的透明度，从0-1 touchbehavior: false, //使光标拖动滚动像在台式电脑触摸设备 true滚动条拖动不可用 cursorwidth: "6px", //滚动条的宽度 单位默认px cursorborder: "0", // 游标边框css定义 cursorborderradius: "3px", //滚动条两头的圆角 autohidemode: true, //是否隐藏滚动条 true的时候默认不显示滚动条，当鼠标经过的时候显示滚动条 zindex: "auto", //给滚动条设置z-index值 railvalign:'defaul',railpadding: {top: 0,right: -6,left: 0,bottom: 0}, //滚动条的位置});//公式序号 居右jQuery(".mag-xml-disp-formula").each(function() {var _this = jQuery(this);var _label= _this.children("label");if(typeof(_label.html())!="undefined"){_this.children("label").remove();_this.wrap("");_this.parent().parent().append(""+_label.html()+"");}});$('body').click(function(){$('.daochu_div').hide();$('.qipao').hide();})$('.qipao').click(function(event){event.stopPropagation();})/*参考文献显示隐藏*/$('.biaotijiantoush1').click(function(event){if($(this).attr('class')=='glyphicon glyphicon-triangle-top biaotijiantoush biaotijiantoush1'){$(this).parents('.mag_main_zhengwen_left_div_ckwx_table_benwenyiny').next('.mag_main_zhengwen_left_div_ckwx_table_ckwx_xiangqing').stop().slideUp();$(this).attr('class','glyphicon glyphicon-triangle-bottom biaotijiantoush biaotijiantoush1');}else if($(this).attr('class')=='glyphicon glyphicon-triangle-bottom biaotijiantoush biaotijiantoush1'){$(this).parents('.mag_main_zhengwen_left_div_ckwx_table_benwenyiny').next('.mag_main_zhengwen_left_div_ckwx_table_ckwx_xiangqing').stop().slideDown();$(this).attr('class','glyphicon glyphicon-triangle-top biaotijiantoush biaotijiantoush1');}event.stopPropagation();});//加载补充材料mag_ajax_update({ele_id:'showArticle_suppls',url:mag_currentQikanUrl() + '/CN/article/showArticleSuppls.do',data:{articleId:$("#articleId").val()}});//加载专题mag_ajax_update({ele_id:'showArticle_subjects',url:mag_currentQikanUrl() + '/CN/subject/showSubjectListByArticle.do',data:{articleId:$("#articleId").val(),forwardJsp:'showArticle'}});//渲染公式mag_mathJax();});function altmetric_callback(json){if(json && json.score){if(json.score - parseInt(json.score) > 0){$("#altmetric-score").html(parseInt(json.score)+1);}else{$("#altmetric-score").html(parseInt(json.score));}$(".main_content_center_right_duoweidu_div").css("width","25%");$("#altmetric-a").show();$("#altmetric-a").attr("href",json.details_url);}}function richClickAuthor(name){var searchSQL = "((("+mag_advSearchValReplace(name)+"[Author]) AND 2J[Journal]) AND year[Order])";mag_request({url:mag_currentQikanUrl() + '/CN/searchresult',data:{searchSQL:searchSQL}});}function richClickKeyword(keyword){var searchSQL = "((("+mag_advSearchValReplace(keyword)+"[Keyword]) AND 2J[Journal]) AND year[Order])";mag_request({url:mag_currentQikanUrl() + '/CN/searchresult',data:{searchSQL:searchSQL}});}function mag_share(){$("#bShare_more_a").click();}function loadRelatedArticles(){if($("#showRelatedArticles") && $("#showRelatedArticles").length>0){//加载过了}else{mag_loading();mag_ajax_update({ele_id:'relatedArticles-content',url:mag_currentQikanUrl() + '/CN/article/relatedArticle.do',data:{id:$("#articleId").val(), forwardJsp:'showArticle'},complete:function(){mag_layer_close();}});}}function showMetrics(){mag_window_location(mag_currentQikanUrl() + '/CN/metrics/'+$("#articleId").val());}function piaofuFn(a,fnId){var content=''+$("#mag-rich-fn-"+fnId).html()+'';piaofu(a,content);}function huoqukuanduimg(){//}function doDataJsonText(text){var str = text;//var _nlmdtdXml = $("#article_nlmdtdXml").val();//var magDir = _nlmdtdXml.replace(/\/[^\/]+$/,'');str = str.replace(/";ss += "";var shuomingTitle = "";var shuomingContent = '';if(fig.titleCn && fig.titleCn!=''){shuomingTitle = fig.titleCn;if(fig.titleContentCn && fig.titleContentCn!=''){shuomingContent += fig.titleContentCn;}}if(shuomingTitle==''){if(fig.titleEn && fig.titleEn!=''){shuomingTitle = fig.titleEn;}if(fig.titleContentEn && fig.titleContentEn!=''){shuomingContent += fig.titleContentEn;}}else{if(fig.titleEn && fig.titleEn!=''){shuomingContent += ""+fig.titleEn+"

来源：2024年第6期

《暨南学报(哲学社会科学版)》期刊编辑部

查看暨南学报(哲学社会科学版)杂志2024年第6期